How Airlines Will Meet SAF Demand Over The Next 15 Years

SAF Demand
Photo by Kevin Hackert on Unsplash


  •  Sustainable Aviation Fuels (SAF) are crucial for achieving net-zero flying and are being mandated by international organizations like the EU.
  •  Major airlines cannot rely on startups alone for their SAF demand needs due to scale and supply chain complexities.

In order to achieve net zero flying SAF Demand appear to be the commercial aviation industry best chance Airlines have been praising SAF development programe for years and international bodies like the European Union

  • Are starting to impose laws requiring the broader use of sustainable fuels Utilizing a range of organic components such as leftover cooking oil and animal fats SAF reduces carbon emissions by a percentage that some estimate to be as high as 80%
  • But before SAF is completely embraced by the industry there are a few enormous obstacles that need to be addressed The President Joe Biden Administration released figures indicating that by 2030 more than three billion gallons of SAF will be required yearly to supply the demand for aviation fuel 
  • The CEO of Lufthansa one of the biggest airlines in the world said that the airline would require half of Germany power in order to create enough SAF for its needs raising doubts about the feasibility of the idea examining the two main actors in the market new SAF producers and established fossil fuel companies switching to SAF production can help determine how the sector will change to satisfy the enormous rise in demand

Credit: Airbus

Aviation explore conducted an exclusive interview with Sarah Thuo Partner and Americas Sustainability Business Transformation Services Practice Leader at IBM Consulting who has assisted clients in the SAF space in growing and developing to gain a better understanding of how these groups will collaborate and meet anticipated demand

The advantages of business transformation

Thuo believes that there is a compelling argument to be made for turning fossil fuel firms into sustainable African farmers (SAF) producers and she didn’t waste any time in outlining how IBM Consulting has assisted businesses in achieving these transformation goals

Thuo listed the following benefits that established energy firms have over those who are just starting out in the industry ⇓

“I don’t think the large airlines can rely on a single startup to meet all of their SAF needs in terms of scalability production capabilities and production at scale Large companies like Neste and anyone else manages to overtake them have an advantage in terms of supply chains production volumes and the capacity to transfer gasoline to the locations where it is required Few companies are able to accomplish it; they often only have one factory and a convoluted supply chain”

Credit: Neste

Here Thuo skillfully expresses her opinion that larger more resource rich companies will outcompete upstart SAF manufacturers in terms of mass manufacturing With the help of IBM Consulting Neste a conventional oil firm with headquarters in Finland completely changed its business strategy to concentrate on sustainable technologies like the manufacture of SAF By 2023 the company wants to be producing 15 million tonnes of SAF annually

The Role of Government Initiatives

The implementation of government incentives and policies is crucial in expediting the adoption of Sustainable Aviation Fuel Dr. Greenway emphasizes effective global initiatives including tax incentives, subsidies, and carbon trading systems that motivate airlines to allocate resources towards cleaner fuel options.

Comparative Table: Government Initiatives

Country Incentives Offered Impact on SAF Adoption
United States Tax credits, loan guarantees High
European Union Emissions trading system, research funding Moderate
Singapore Investment grants, carbon pricing Low

Strategic Partnerships

Airlines are establishing collaborations with biofuel companies research institutes and sustainability organizations to guarantee a steady supply of Sustainable Aviation Fuel these collaborations not only ensure the security of the SAF supply chain but also foster innovation in the sector.

Comparative Table: Key Partnerships

Airline Partner Focus Progress
Delta Air Lines World Energy Feedstock development Advanced
Lufthansa Group Neste Fuel production Ongoing collaboration
Emirates Sky NRG Carbon offset initiatives Expanding partnership

Sustainable Air Travel: A 15-Year Projection

Dr. Greenway foresees a big surge in the use of SAF over the next 15 years, as several airlines strive to substitute a considerable amount of their conventional jet fuel with sustainable alternatives. This transition aims to enhance the sustainability and environmental responsibility of air travel to an unprecedented level.

Ultimately, the aviation sector is leading the way in embracing Sustainable Aviation Fuels in order to satisfy the increasing need for environmentally-friendly air transportation. The future of air travel is undoubtedly more environmentally friendly due to government assistance technical improvements, smart collaborations and growing consumer awareness.

Dr. Amelia Greenway’s proficiency highlights the practicality and potential of Sustainable Aviation Fuel guaranteeing a more optimistic and environmentally friendly future for the aviation sector and our world.

Sources: The White HouseNeste


About author


Ameer is an aviation expert with over two decades of experience in the industry. With a passion for aviation that has taken him from the cockpit to the boardroom, Ameer has an extensive background in aviation management, safety, and operations. He has been at the forefront of developing innovative solutions to enhance aviation safety standards and streamline airline operations
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